Two posts for the price of one tonight:
Finger Lakes Fifties:
On Saturday morning I'll be toeing the line for my third run at the Finger Lakes Fifties 25K. I'm hopeful that in future years that I'll be healthy and trained well enough to run the 50K or 50 miler, but for now I'm happy to enjoy only one loop on those trails in the hills near Seneca Lake.
My training lately has been amazingly consistent. If you include the race mileage, this week will be my seventh in a row of 20 or more miles total. It's not a lot of miles, but I'm coming back from injury, correcting my form and I'm taking it slow. Hopefully that 20 will turn to 30 this Fall and more next Winter and Spring.
Given my PR at the Chambersburg Half Marathon, (in less than ideal - actually much less than ideal - conditions) I'm very optimistic heading into this race. That being said, there's a little twist this year that's going to make a PR in this race a little tougher; it's going to be (almost) a mile longer.
There is a section of the normal course that is undergoing repairs, so it is unavailable to the race, so the course has been re-routed, extending the 25K loop from 15.7 miles to 16.5. Two years ago my pace was 10:51/mile. To match that finish, I will need to keep at least a 10:20/mile pace. Not impossible, but thirty seconds per mile is a lot. My 2008 Chambersburg Half Marathon pace was 9:06/mile. This year it was 8:55 - but in bad conditions.
Judging from the weather and the rain gauge in Hector, NY it looks like the trail conditions will be similar to what they were two years ago. It might be a little warmer, but I think I've got a shot at matching my 2:50:24 time from 2008, even with the extra 0.8 mile. So the goal will be a race PR: 2:50:23 (better yet, 2:49:59), but if I finish under three hours, I'll be happy.
Tour de France:
Briefly, my Tour de France predictions:
1. Tyler Farrar (yes I'm out on a limb here, hopefully the "God of Thunder" won't strike the tree.)
2. Thor Hushovd
3. Mark Cavendish (He has too much trouble in the mountains to get to the front of those hilly but not truly mountainous stages - and he'll be missing "Big George" Hincapie's leadout this year.)
1. Lance Armstrong (another limb, but not so far out)
2. Alberto Contador
3. Alexandre Vinokourov (assuming he doesn't get caught doping again. If he does, I'll go with Basso. Assuming he doesn't get caught doping.)